Echoes from the past: A healthy Baltic Sea requires more effort

Aarno T. Kotilainen; Laura Arppe; Slawomir Dobosz; Eystein Jansen; Karoline Kabel; Juha Karhu; Mia M. Kotilainen; Antoon Kuijpers; Bryan C. Lougheed; H.E. Markus Meier; Matthias Moros; Thomas Neumann; Christian Porsche; Niels Poulsen; Peter Rasmussen; Sofia Ribeiro; Bjørg Risebrobakken; Daria Ryabchuk; Semjon Schimanke; Ian Snowball; Mikhail Spiridonov; Joonas J. Virtasalo; Kaarina Weckström; Andrzej Witkowski; Vladimir Zhamoida

doi:10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4

Echoes from the past: A healthy Baltic Sea requires more effort

Aarno T. Kotilainen, Laura Arppe, Slawomir Dobosz, Eystein Jansen, Karoline Kabel, Juha Karhu, Mia M. Kotilainen, Antoon Kuijpers, Bryan C. Lougheed, H.E. Markus Meier, Matthias Moros, Thomas Neumann, Christian Porsche, Niels Poulsen, Peter Rasmussen, Sofia Ribeiro, Bjørg Risebrobakken, Daria Ryabchuk, Semjon Schimanke, Ian SnowballMikhail Spiridonov, Joonas J. Virtasalo, Kaarina Weckström, Andrzej Witkowski, Vladimir Zhamoida

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer-review

20 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Integrated sediment multiproxy studies and modeling were used to reconstruct past changes in the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Results of natural changes over the past 6000 years in the Baltic Sea ecosystem suggest that forecasted climate warming might enhance environmental problems of the Baltic Sea. Integrated modeling and sediment proxy studies reveal increased sea surface temperatures and expanded seafloor anoxia (in deep basins) during earlier natural warm climate phases, such as the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Under future IPCC scenarios of global warming, there is likely no improvement of bottom water conditions in the Baltic Sea. Thus, the measures already designed to produce a healthier Baltic Sea are insufficient in the long term. The interactions between climate change and anthropogenic impacts on the Baltic Sea should be considered in management, implementation of policy strategies in the Baltic Sea environmental issues, and adaptation to future climate change.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	60-68
Number of pages	9
Journal	Ambio
Volume	43
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4
Publication status	Published - Feb 2014

Keywords

Baltic Sea
Climate change
Holocene
Inflow
Modeling
Multiproxy analyses

Programme Area

Programme Area 5: Nature and Climate

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4Licence: CC BY

Cite this

Kotilainen, A. T., Arppe, L., Dobosz, S., Jansen, E., Kabel, K., Karhu, J., Kotilainen, M. M., Kuijpers, A., Lougheed, B. C., Meier, H. E. M., Moros, M., Neumann, T., Porsche, C., Poulsen, N., Rasmussen, P., Ribeiro, S., Risebrobakken, B., Ryabchuk, D., Schimanke, S., ... Zhamoida, V. (2014). Echoes from the past: A healthy Baltic Sea requires more effort. Ambio, 43(1), 60-68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4

@article{e6476733347e4c7bb9fd4f5900d2269f,

title = "Echoes from the past: A healthy Baltic Sea requires more effort",

abstract = "Integrated sediment multiproxy studies and modeling were used to reconstruct past changes in the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Results of natural changes over the past 6000 years in the Baltic Sea ecosystem suggest that forecasted climate warming might enhance environmental problems of the Baltic Sea. Integrated modeling and sediment proxy studies reveal increased sea surface temperatures and expanded seafloor anoxia (in deep basins) during earlier natural warm climate phases, such as the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Under future IPCC scenarios of global warming, there is likely no improvement of bottom water conditions in the Baltic Sea. Thus, the measures already designed to produce a healthier Baltic Sea are insufficient in the long term. The interactions between climate change and anthropogenic impacts on the Baltic Sea should be considered in management, implementation of policy strategies in the Baltic Sea environmental issues, and adaptation to future climate change.",

keywords = "Baltic Sea, Climate change, Holocene, Inflow, Modeling, Multiproxy analyses",

author = "Kotilainen, {Aarno T.} and Laura Arppe and Slawomir Dobosz and Eystein Jansen and Karoline Kabel and Juha Karhu and Kotilainen, {Mia M.} and Antoon Kuijpers and Lougheed, {Bryan C.} and Meier, {H.E. Markus} and Matthias Moros and Thomas Neumann and Christian Porsche and Niels Poulsen and Peter Rasmussen and Sofia Ribeiro and Bj{\o}rg Risebrobakken and Daria Ryabchuk and Semjon Schimanke and Ian Snowball and Mikhail Spiridonov and Virtasalo, {Joonas J.} and Kaarina Weckstr{\"o}m and Andrzej Witkowski and Vladimir Zhamoida",

note = "Funding Information: This study is part of the INFLOW (The Holocene Saline Water Inflow Changes into the Baltic Sea) project, funded by the European Commission 7th Framework Programme (FP/2007–2013) under Grant agreement No. 217246 made with BONUS, the joint Baltic Sea Research Programme, and by the Academy of Finland. Partners of the project were from—Germany: Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnem{\"u}nde (IOW); Denmark: Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS); Sweden: Department of Earth and Ecosystem Sciences—Division of Geology, Lund University, and Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI); Poland: Faculty of Earth Sciences, Department of Palaeoceanology, University of Szczecin; Norway: Unifob AS, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR); Russia: A. P. Karpinsky Russian Geological Research Institute (VSEGEI); and Finland: GTK and Department of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki. Anonymous reviewers provided very constructive and valuable comments on this manuscript, which are gratefully acknowledged.",

year = "2014",

month = feb,

doi = "10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4",

language = "English",

volume = "43",

pages = "60--68",

journal = "Ambio",

issn = "0044-7447",

publisher = "Allen Press Inc.",

number = "1",

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Kotilainen, AT, Arppe, L, Dobosz, S, Jansen, E, Kabel, K, Karhu, J, Kotilainen, MM, Kuijpers, A, Lougheed, BC, Meier, HEM, Moros, M, Neumann, T, Porsche, C, Poulsen, N, Rasmussen, P, Ribeiro, S, Risebrobakken, B, Ryabchuk, D, Schimanke, S, Snowball, I, Spiridonov, M, Virtasalo, JJ, Weckström, K, Witkowski, A & Zhamoida, V 2014, 'Echoes from the past: A healthy Baltic Sea requires more effort', Ambio, vol. 43, no. 1, pp. 60-68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4

TY - JOUR

T1 - Echoes from the past: A healthy Baltic Sea requires more effort

AU - Kotilainen, Aarno T.

AU - Arppe, Laura

AU - Dobosz, Slawomir

AU - Jansen, Eystein

AU - Kabel, Karoline

AU - Karhu, Juha

AU - Kotilainen, Mia M.

AU - Kuijpers, Antoon

AU - Lougheed, Bryan C.

AU - Meier, H.E. Markus

AU - Moros, Matthias

AU - Neumann, Thomas

AU - Porsche, Christian

AU - Poulsen, Niels

AU - Rasmussen, Peter

AU - Ribeiro, Sofia

AU - Risebrobakken, Bjørg

AU - Ryabchuk, Daria

AU - Schimanke, Semjon

AU - Snowball, Ian

AU - Spiridonov, Mikhail

AU - Virtasalo, Joonas J.

AU - Weckström, Kaarina

AU - Witkowski, Andrzej

AU - Zhamoida, Vladimir

N1 - Funding Information: This study is part of the INFLOW (The Holocene Saline Water Inflow Changes into the Baltic Sea) project, funded by the European Commission 7th Framework Programme (FP/2007–2013) under Grant agreement No. 217246 made with BONUS, the joint Baltic Sea Research Programme, and by the Academy of Finland. Partners of the project were from—Germany: Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde (IOW); Denmark: Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS); Sweden: Department of Earth and Ecosystem Sciences—Division of Geology, Lund University, and Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI); Poland: Faculty of Earth Sciences, Department of Palaeoceanology, University of Szczecin; Norway: Unifob AS, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR); Russia: A. P. Karpinsky Russian Geological Research Institute (VSEGEI); and Finland: GTK and Department of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki. Anonymous reviewers provided very constructive and valuable comments on this manuscript, which are gratefully acknowledged.

PY - 2014/2

Y1 - 2014/2

N2 - Integrated sediment multiproxy studies and modeling were used to reconstruct past changes in the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Results of natural changes over the past 6000 years in the Baltic Sea ecosystem suggest that forecasted climate warming might enhance environmental problems of the Baltic Sea. Integrated modeling and sediment proxy studies reveal increased sea surface temperatures and expanded seafloor anoxia (in deep basins) during earlier natural warm climate phases, such as the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Under future IPCC scenarios of global warming, there is likely no improvement of bottom water conditions in the Baltic Sea. Thus, the measures already designed to produce a healthier Baltic Sea are insufficient in the long term. The interactions between climate change and anthropogenic impacts on the Baltic Sea should be considered in management, implementation of policy strategies in the Baltic Sea environmental issues, and adaptation to future climate change.

AB - Integrated sediment multiproxy studies and modeling were used to reconstruct past changes in the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Results of natural changes over the past 6000 years in the Baltic Sea ecosystem suggest that forecasted climate warming might enhance environmental problems of the Baltic Sea. Integrated modeling and sediment proxy studies reveal increased sea surface temperatures and expanded seafloor anoxia (in deep basins) during earlier natural warm climate phases, such as the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Under future IPCC scenarios of global warming, there is likely no improvement of bottom water conditions in the Baltic Sea. Thus, the measures already designed to produce a healthier Baltic Sea are insufficient in the long term. The interactions between climate change and anthropogenic impacts on the Baltic Sea should be considered in management, implementation of policy strategies in the Baltic Sea environmental issues, and adaptation to future climate change.

KW - Baltic Sea

KW - Climate change

KW - Holocene

KW - Inflow

KW - Modeling

KW - Multiproxy analyses

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84895753438&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4

DO - 10.1007/s13280-013-0477-4

M3 - Article

SN - 0044-7447

VL - 43

SP - 60

EP - 68

JO - Ambio

JF - Ambio

IS - 1

ER -

Echoes from the past: A healthy Baltic Sea requires more effort

Abstract

Keywords

Programme Area

UN SDGs

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